RMB Exchange Rate Forecasting Model Based on Exponential Smoothing and Gray Correlation

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Abstract:

This paper through the establishment of a Holts linear trend exponential smoothing model, make use of SPSS Clementine for 2005-2010 analysis and forecast of RMB against the U.S. dollar exchange rate, the predicted curve is better than the expectations of the prediction accuracy. To further analyze the dynamic changes of the RMB against the U.S. dollar, method of gray correlation factors that affect the exchange rate is used

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1480-1483

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September 2013

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© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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