A Status Evaluation Model of Human Errors Probability in Petroleum Operations

Abstract:

The accident happens sometimes in the oil industry and that the Human errors (HEs) are studied and used in the petroleum field is fewer. Then, the paper analyzes the early achievements and finds that most of the studies are aimed at the operation behavior but not the operator. So, using probability theory, the paper discusses the HE Causes and the relationship between human behavior and the accident, and it presents the error state evaluation model of organization and the evaluation model of the number of operators doing Error. According to the evaluation models, the management can get the risk status of accident of an organization.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 416-417)
• Pages: 2078-2082
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.416-417.2078
• Online since: September 2013
• Authors: Shang Hai Liu, Bao Fa Liu, Xian Tao Liu
• Keywords: Human Errors, Model, Operator, Petroleum, Probability

References

[1] Oil Spill Intelligence Report, http: /www. oilspillreports. com/about.

[2] Transocean report blames BP for Gulf of Mexico oil disaster, http: /www. guardian. co. uk/ environment/2011/jun/22 /transocean-report-bp-gulf-oil-spill.

[3] M.S. Sanders and E.J. McCormick: Human factors in engineering and design (6th ed. ) (McGraw-Hill Publications, American 1987).

[4] D. G. DiMattia, F. I. Khan and P. R. Amyotte: Determination of human error probabilities for offshore platform musters. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 18 (2005), p.488–501.

DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2005.07.021

[5] E. L. Droguett, M. C. Moura, C. M. Jacinto, and M. F. Silva Jr.: A semi-Markov model with Bayesian belief network based human error probability for availability assessment of down hole optical monitoring systems. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory 16 (2008).

DOI: 10.1016/j.simpat.2008.08.011

[6] Zio, E., Baraldi, P., Librizzi, M., Podofillini, L. and Dang, V. N. A fuzzy set-based approach for modeling dependence among Human errors. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 160 (2009) , p.1947–(1964).

DOI: 10.1016/j.fss.2009.01.016

[7] M. Khalaquzzaman, H. G. Kang, M. C. Kim and P. H. Seong: Quantification of unavailability caused by random failures and maintenance human errors in nuclear power plants. Nuclear Engineering and Design 240 (2010) , p.1606–1613.

DOI: 10.1016/j.nucengdes.2010.03.001

[8] Li Xiangdong. Application of Human Reliable Appraisement in the mine. Mining & Processing Equipment, Vol. 34, 9, (2006), pp.94-96 (In Chinese).

[9] Geng Xiaowei, Wang Wenyan and Liu Lijian: Analysis on the human error and its reliability. Journal of Liaoning Technical University, Vo1. 22 suppl., Aug, (2003), pp.83-84 (In Chinese).