The Nonlinear Dynamics Characteristics of Stock Market and its Variation

Article Preview

Abstract:

The stock market is a kind of complex system with all kinds of interactions. It also shows a nonlinear characteristic. In this paper, we analysed the time series from Dow Jones indexes itself and the time series from its fluctuation difference and extracted its correlation dimension and Lyapunov exponent, which shows a chaotic dynamic characteristic in it. Moreover,we also analysed the variation of chaotic characteristic indexes in long term, and found that the correlation dimension has a quasi-periodical variation and some rapid drops in some specific years.The variation of the correlation dimension can be used to reflect some internal changes in stock market.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Pages:

3188-3193

Citation:

Online since:

February 2014

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2014 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

* - Corresponding Author

[1] Stutzer, Michael J., Chaotic dynamics and bifurcation in a macro model, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, 1980, 2(1): 353-376.

DOI: 10.1016/0165-1889(80)90070-6

Google Scholar

[2] Chen Ping W.A. Barnett, Economic Theory as a Generator of Measurable Attractors, Laws of Nature and Human Conduct, Specifities and Unifying Themes, Discoveries 1985 Symposium, Brussels, I. Prigogine and D. Sanglier eds., Task Force of Research Information and Study on Science, Brussels (1987).

Google Scholar

[3] Hesieh D, Testing foe nonlinear dynamics in foreign exchange rate[J]Journal Business, 1989, 62: 339-359.

Google Scholar

[4] D.A. Hsiesh, Chaos and nonlinear dynamics application to financial market[J], Journal of Finance, 1991, 46: 1839-1877.

Google Scholar

[5] Liangsheng Chen, On the Chaotic Dynamics Analysis of China Stock Marke. The 9th International Conference for Young Computer Scientists, 2008, pp.3011-3015.

DOI: 10.1109/icycs.2008.392

Google Scholar

[6] Packard N H, Crutchfisld J P, Farmer J D, et al. Geometry from a time series[J]. Physical Review Letters, 1980, 45: 712-716.

Google Scholar

[7] Takens F. Determining strange attractors in turbulence[J]. Lecture Notes in Mathmematics. Berlin: Springer, 1981, 898: 366-381.

Google Scholar

[8] P. Grassberger, I. Procaccia, Measuring the strangeness of strange attractor[J], Physics D, 1983, 9: 189-208.

Google Scholar

[9] P. Grassberger,I. Procaccia, Characterization of strange attractors, Physical Review Letter[J]. 1983, 50 : 346-349.

DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.50.346

Google Scholar

[10] Alan Wolf, Jack B Swift, Harry L swinney, et al. Detemining lyapunov exponents from a time series[J]. Physica D, 1985, 16(3): 285-317.

DOI: 10.1016/0167-2789(85)90011-9

Google Scholar

[11] S. Janjarasjitt, M. S. Scher, K. A. Loparo, Nonlinear dynamical analysis of the neonatal EEG time series: The relationship between sleep state and complexity [J]. Clinical Neurophysiology - CLIN NEUROPHYSIOL , 2008, 119(8): 1812-1823.

DOI: 10.1016/j.clinph.2008.03.024

Google Scholar

[12] Jaeseung Jeong, Nonlinear dynamics of EEG in Alzheimer's disease[J]. Drug Development Research - DRUG DEVELOP RES , 2002, 56, (2): 57-66.

DOI: 10.1002/ddr.10061

Google Scholar