Research on Level Effect-Based Fuzzy Prediction Method

Fachao Li; Shuo Liu

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.519-520.780

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Stability of Number-Processing Based on Information Granularity Associative with Parietal Cortex
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Research on Intelligent Decision Method Based on Grey System Theory in the Prediction of Grain Yield in Jilin Province
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Research on Level Effect-Based Fuzzy Prediction Method
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Fast and Effective Algorithm of Iris Localization Based on Hough Transform
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On Fuzzy Abundant Semigroups
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Improved Self-Adaptive Glowworm Swarm Optimization Algorithm
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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 519-520Research on Level Effect-Based Fuzzy Prediction...

Research on Level Effect-Based Fuzzy Prediction Method

Abstract:

As there are many prediction problems under fuzzy environments, describing the prediction results systematically and constructing a fuzzy prediction method with good structural characteristics have attracted an extensive attention. For the prediction of investment return under fuzzy environment, we first make an analysis of general fuzzy decision-making problem, and point out its limitations. Then, we discuss the association feature between decision and membership state, and give a level effect function which can describe the recognized degree under different level cut sets. Furthermore, we establish a measure model for fuzzy optimal value based on level effect function. Finally, we apply the established model to a concrete investment example, and analyze its effectiveness in fuzzy prediction. Theoretical analysis and case study show that this method has good structural characteristics and practical significance, it can enrich the existing fuzzy prediction methods to a certain degree.