Research on Prediction of the Amount of Regional Airport Aviation Based on GM (1.1) Model in the Gray System

Abstract:

This paper discussed the analysis of the regional airport air volume forecast based on the classic GM (1, 1) model in the grey system theory. Focused on the impact of predict of the data by application of the original data sequence after preprocessing by the strengthen operator and weakening operator in sequence operator. Through the analysis and comparison of the concrete prediction of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region airport aviation data, found that in the process of predicting of the region Airport air volume, introduction of weakening/strengthen operator by combination with the area practical situation, as the result of the regional airport aviation prediction is conformity with the practical situation and forecasting precision is better.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 587-589)
• Pages: 1901-1906
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.587-589.1901
• Online since: July 2014
• Authors: Ai Lan Peng, Ke Dong*, Wei Na Yang
• Keywords: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region, First Order Strengthening Operator, First Order Weakening Operator, Grey System GM(1,1) Model

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