Application of Grey Model Theory to Forecast Flight Training Time

Jun Wen; Hai Feng Duan; Shu Xia Sun; Ming Xing Li; Jian Fei Lv

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.635-637.1696

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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 635-637Application of Grey Model Theory to Forecast...

Application of Grey Model Theory to Forecast Flight Training Time

Abstract:

Grey model GM(1,1) is applied to forecast flight training time. The discreteness of originality data is overcome and the high-precise predicted result is received under the condition of a small amount of data. This paper takes a short-term forecast flight training time of Civil Aviation Flight University of China (CAFUC) by using grey system theory. With a comparison of the actual data to the forecast result, it is proved that using grey system theory to forecast the flight training time of Civil Aviation Flight University of China is feasible with relatively high prediction accuracy.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 635-637)

Pages:

1696-1699

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.635-637.1696

Citation:

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Online since:

September 2014

Authors:

Jun Wen*, Hai Feng Duan, Shu Xia Sun, Ming Xing Li, Jian Fei Lv

Keywords:

Flight Training Time, Forecast, Grey System Model

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* - Corresponding Author

References

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[5] Development Planning Department of Civil Aviation Administration of China: Statistics of Civil Aviation (Press of China Civil Aviation, China 2013). (in Chinese).

DOI: 10.52547/crpase.7.2.2335

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