A Method for Predicting Probabilistic Resource Conflicts between Trains

Jian Bo Zheng; Jing Wen Guo

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.641-642.745

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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 641-642A Method for Predicting Probabilistic Resource...

A Method for Predicting Probabilistic Resource Conflicts between Trains

Abstract:

The development of high-speed railway construction and operation greatly shorten people's travel time, however, the demand of people on travel time reliability becomes more and more prominent, so train dispatching plans are becoming more and more important. This paper defines probabilistic conflicts between trains, analyses probabilistic conflict influence factors and comes up with a method for predicting probabilistic resource conflicts between trains. The method aims to improve the accuracy of train conflict prediction, provide more reliable basis to solve train conflicts and develop more efficient train dispatching plans.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 641-642)

Pages:

745-752

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.641-642.745

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Cite this paper

Online since:

September 2014

Authors:

Jian Bo Zheng*, Jing Wen Guo

Keywords:

Probabilistic Train Conflict, Stochastic Blocking Time, Train Dispatching

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* - Corresponding Author

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