Dynamic Mechanism of Effect Factors for Railway Passenger Volume

Chen Wang

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.644-650.5848

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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 644-650Dynamic Mechanism of Effect Factors for Railway...

Dynamic Mechanism of Effect Factors for Railway Passenger Volume

Abstract:

The railway passenger volume is a non-linear, dynamic and complicated issue which is affected by many factors. Using the principle and method of system dynamic, this paper has analyzed the effect factors for railway passenger volume, including the economic factors, rail infrastructure factors and travel choice behavior factor. Considering about the causality among the factors, a dynamic model has been built based on the relevant data from <China Statistical Yearbook (2000-2013)>. At the same time, the model has been run for making predictions (2014-2030). This paper focuses on the influences caused by the fare increase and the increase of GDP growth rate.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 644-650)

Pages:

5848-5852

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.644-650.5848

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Online since:

September 2014

Authors:

Chen Wang*

Keywords:

Effect Factors, Railway Passenger Volume, System Dynamic Model

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