A Forecasting Research on Population Size of Jilin Province Based on Grey GM (1,1) Model

Li Ying Wang

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.667.273

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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vol. 667A Forecasting Research on Population Size of Jilin...

A Forecasting Research on Population Size of Jilin Province Based on Grey GM (1,1) Model

Abstract:

The population size and structure is an important factor that affects economic and social development. In this thesis, MATLAB is used to build the relational graph between total population and year according to the total population in the statistical bulletin issued by Jilin Province Statistical Bureau; the grey GM (1,1) model is built with the population size between 2004 and 2013 as the original sequence; the statistical software SPSS18.0 is also used to solve grey GM(1,1) model and it is obtained that the total population in Jilin Province will grow slowly in the future ten years; finally, the rationalization proposal for controlling the population increase of Jilin Province is put forward.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volume 667)

Pages:

273-276

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.667.273

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Online since:

October 2014

Authors:

Li Ying Wang*

Keywords:

GM(1,1) Model, MATLAB, Population, Prediction, SPSS18.0

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* - Corresponding Author

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