Information Processing in Design and Testing of Financial Early Warning Method of Listed Companies in China - Based on the Logistic Regression Analysis

Article Preview

Abstract:

Information processing is of essential importance for an effective financial early warning model. In order to design the model of financial early warning for listed companies, we selected the 120 listed companies as research samples, chose the necessary information and relatively financial indexes and detected them by K-S normality test, then separately analyzed the results by One-Sample T test and Nonparametric Test. Through the discriminant analysis to the correlation analysis, we can identify the independent variables of logistic analysis, introduce in the quadratic term and cross term for logistic regression analysis. Applied the model in financial crisis prediction of the listed companies in China, the empirical results indicate that the prediction accuracy is 87.4%. The model from relatively information and financial index provides a kind of early warning method, which is simple practicable and scientific, for estimating the business status of a company.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Pages:

325-328

Citation:

Online since:

August 2014

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2014 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

* - Corresponding Author

[1] Shi Xiaojun, Xiao Yuanwen, Ren Ruoen . Logistic default rate model and Optimal Sample Pairing and the demarcation point [J ]. Journal of Finance and economics, 2005. 9.

Google Scholar

[2] Zhang Houqi [ 3]. Financial crisis warning system for listed companies: theoretical study and empirical analysis [J ]. Shanghai joint research program third task report, 2002. 1.

Google Scholar