Chinese Mid-Long Term Energy Demand Analysis under the Environmental Constraints

Bao Guo Shan; Cheng Long Zhang; Yong Pei Wang

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.1073-1076.2857

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Analysis on Economic Efficiency and Industrial Structure Adjustment of Some Counties Based on DEA Method
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Evaluation of Development Level of Agricultural Circular Economy in China
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Index System and Model of Evaluation to Implemented Performance of Patent Strategy from Perspective of Sustainable Development
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Factors Affecting Tourists’ Involvement in Environmental Protection
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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vols. 1073-1076Chinese Mid-Long Term Energy Demand Analysis under...

Chinese Mid-Long Term Energy Demand Analysis under the Environmental Constraints

Abstract:

The paper studied the new economic normality, introduced main environmental constraints on Chinese economy. Nine kinds of policies to achieve green development are simulated by SICGE-CEMS model (a kind of energy economy environment hybrid model) respectively to evaluate their economic and environmental effects, which indicates that coal resources tax is the best policy to promote carbon emission reduction , oil & gas resource tax is the best policy for sulfide, nitrogen oxides emission reduction. A mix policy is put forward to achieve green development with less impact on the economy. The results indicate primary energy demand in green development scenario is respectively 52.1, 59 tons coal equivalent in 2020,2030, 1, 12.4 tons coal equivalent lower than the reference scenario, GDP losses are 0.15%, 0.31% relative to the reference scenario.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 1073-1076)

Pages:

2857-2862

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.1073-1076.2857

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Online since:

December 2014

Authors:

Bao Guo Shan, Cheng Long Zhang*, Yong Pei Wang

Keywords:

CEMS Model, Cge Model, Energy Demand, Environmental Constraints

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* - Corresponding Author

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