Identification of Chaotic Characteristics of Rural Energy Consumption in China Based on GA and Neural Network

Article Preview

Abstract:

This paper pointed out that the time series of rural energy consumption in China had a chaotic process, the maximum of range forecasting was 7.8 years, and then built a chaos-neural network forecasting model of China's rural energy consumption, the result showed that the total rural energy consumption would reach 1276.3307 million tones standard coal equivalent in 2010. Finally, some advices were proposed to the development of rural energy.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 108-111)

Pages:

1278-1282

Citation:

Online since:

May 2010

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2010 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

[1] Peter Catania: China's rural energy system and management, Applied Energy Vol. 64 (1999), pp.229-240.

Google Scholar

[2] W. Wolde-Ghiorgis: Renewable energy for rural development in EthioPia: the ease for new Energy Policies and institutional reform, Energy policy Vol. 11 (2002), pp.1095-1105.

DOI: 10.1016/s0301-4215(02)00061-7

Google Scholar

[3] Frederick N. Onyango, Reecab M. oehieng: The Potential of solar chimney for application In rural areas of developing countries, Fuel Vol. 17 (2006), pp.2561-566.

DOI: 10.1016/j.fuel.2006.04.029

Google Scholar

[4] G. Berndes, M. Hoogwijk, R. Broek: The contribution of biomass in the future global energy supply, Biomass and Bio-energy Vol. l (2003), p. l-28.

DOI: 10.1016/s0961-9534(02)00185-x

Google Scholar

[5] G.R. Melvin: Carbon sequestration and biomass energy offset: theoretical, Potential and achievable capacities globally, in Europe and the UK, Biomass and Bio-energy Vol. 2 (2003), pp.97-116.

DOI: 10.1016/s0961-9534(02)00103-4

Google Scholar

[6] Liu Gang, Sheng Lei: Quantitative appraisal of Biomass Energy and its geographical Distribution in China, Journal of Natural Resources Vol. 22 (2007), pp.9-19.

Google Scholar

[7] Li Junfeng, Hu Runqing, Song Yanqin: Assessment of sustainable energy Potential of Non-plantation biomass resources in China, Biomass and Bio-energy Vol. 29(2005), pp.167-177.

DOI: 10.1016/j.biombioe.2005.03.006

Google Scholar

[8] Liao CuiPing, Yan yongjie, Wu Chuangzhi, Huang Haitao: Study on the distribution and Quantity of biomass residues resource in China, Biomass and Bio-energy Vol. 27(2004), pp.111-117.

DOI: 10.1016/j.biombioe.2003.10.009

Google Scholar

[9] X.H. Wang, ZM. Feng: On household energy consumption for rural development: a study On Yangzhong County of China, Energy Vol. 24, (1999), pp.493-500.

DOI: 10.1016/s0360-5442(99)00006-7

Google Scholar

[10] Wang Xiaohua, Feng zhengmin: Retrospection and expectation on energy consumptions of rural households in China, Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Machinery Vol. 33, (2002), pp.125-129.

Google Scholar

[11] D. Bames, W. Floor: Biomass energy and the Poor in the developing countries, Journal of International Affairs Vol. 53(1999), pp.237-259.

Google Scholar

[12] Edwards RD, Smith KR, Zhang JF, Ma YQ. Implications of changes in household stoves and fuel use in China, Energy Policy Vol. 32(2004), pp.395-411.

DOI: 10.1016/s0301-4215(02)00309-9

Google Scholar

[13] J.J. Hain, G.W. Ault, S. JGalloway, etal: Additional renewable energy growth through Small-scale community orientated energy policies, Energy policy Vol. 33 (2005), pp.1199-1211.

DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2003.11.017

Google Scholar

[14] Tian YS, Analysis on energy supply to construct new socialist countryside of China, China Energy Vol. 28(2006), pp.13-5.

Google Scholar

[15] Sadrul Islam AKM, Islam M, Rahman T, Effective renewable energy activities in Bangladesh, Renew Energy Vol. 31(2006), pp.677-88.

DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2005.08.004

Google Scholar