Modeling and Simulation on the New Technology Diffusion of Cars Using Cellular Automata

Fang Ma; Gang Ling Chao

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.291-294.3171

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Application the Cumulative Exergy Analysis to the Optimal Heat Exchange Process
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Study on the Method of Measuring the Inertia Moment of Multi-Cylinder Engine
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Modeling and Simulation on the New Technology Diffusion of Cars Using Cellular Automata
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Design and Implementation of Performance Appraisal System for Foundry Enterprises
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Flask Management in the Foundry Moulding Plan
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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vols. 291-294Modeling and Simulation on the New Technology...

Modeling and Simulation on the New Technology Diffusion of Cars Using Cellular Automata

Abstract:

Based on cellular automata (CA), the new technology diffusions of domestic cars and completely knocked down (CKD) cars were modeled and simulated. It is found that: (1) CA method successfully examined the new technology diffusion of domestic and CKD cars, (2) the predicted results of domestic cars show four stages of the life cycle of new technology, but those of CKD cars display only the decline stage of the life cycle, (3) the present technology of domestic cars in China is in the period of growth stage and that of CKD cars is at the decline stage, (4) with the advanced technology and new service are created and introduced into the industry of domestic cars, CKD cars will lose their market and be gradually out of the market.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 291-294)

Pages:

3171-3174

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.291-294.3171

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Online since:

July 2011

Authors:

Fang Ma, Gang Ling Chao

Keywords:

Cellular Automata (CA), CKD Car, Domestic Car, Modeling, Simulation, Technology Diffusion

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