Using Cloud Model to Improve the Membership Function in Fuzzy Risk Assessment of Reservoir-Induced Seismicity

Article Preview

Abstract:

Due to the uncertainty and complexity of the causes in reservoir-induced seismicity, the relationship between the environmental factor and the possible earthquake magnitude can be described by membership function. This study aims to propose a fuzzy method to contribute the membership function in which the normal cloud model is applied. Firstly, the cloud model is introduced in detail. Based on normal cloud model, the one-to-many mapping model is presented to deal with the fuzziness and randomness in the membership function. Finally, the case study in Yangtze Three Gorges Reservoir is presented to illustrate the membership cloud function in fuzzy risk assessment of reservoir-induced seismicity. The obtained results show that the proposed method is the viable approaches in solving the problem when the memberships are vague and imprecise.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Pages:

270-275

Citation:

Online since:

February 2013

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

[1] D. G. Fan, S. He, F. Duan and B. N. Niu, A comprehensive evaluation model based on cloud model,. In Sci/Tech Information Development & Economy, pp.157-159, (2003).

Google Scholar

[2] C. L. Hwang, M. J. Lin, Group decision making under multiple criteria: Methods and applications, in Springer-Verlag, (1987).

Google Scholar

[3] D. M. Simpson, A. A. Gharb and R. M. Kebeasy, Induced seismicity and changes in water level at Aswan Reservoir, Egypt, in Induced Seismicity, pp.331-344, (1992).

Google Scholar

[4] D. S. Carder, Scismic investigations in the Boulder Dam area, 1940-1944, and the influence of reservoir loading on earthquake activity, in Bull Seismol, vol. 35, pp.175-192, (1945).

DOI: 10.1785/bssa0350040175

Google Scholar

[5] D. Y. Li and C. Y. Liu, Study on the universality of the normal cloud model, in Engineering Science, pp.28-33, (2004).

Google Scholar

[6] H. K. Gupta and B. K. Rastogi., Dams and Earthquakes, in Elsevier, Amsterdam, (1976).

Google Scholar

[7] H. K. Gupta, A review of recent studies of triggered earthquakes by artificial water reservoir with special emphasis on earthquakes in Koyna, India, in Earth-Science Reviews, vol. 58, pp.279-310, (2002).

DOI: 10.1016/s0012-8252(02)00063-6

Google Scholar

[8] L. A. Zadeh, fuzzy sets, in Information Control, vol. 8, pp.338-353, (1965).

Google Scholar

[9] L. A. Zadeh, Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility, in Fuzzy Sets and Systems, vol. 1, pp.3-28, (1978).

DOI: 10.1016/0165-0114(78)90029-5

Google Scholar

[10] LIAO Liang-cai, FAN Lin-jun and WANG Peng, Method of Evaluating Organizational Performance Based on Cloud Theory, in Systems Engineering, pp.56-58, (2010).

Google Scholar

[11] M. Awad and M. Mizoue, Earthquake activity in the Aswan region, Egypt, in Pageoph, vol. 145(1), pp.69-86, (1995).

DOI: 10.1007/bf00879484

Google Scholar

[12] Q. Y. Wang and Q. W. Zhang, Study on risk of induced earthquake in reservoir head region of Theree Gorges projection on Yangtze River, Crustal Deformation and Earthquake, vol. 23(2), pp.101-106, May (2003).

Google Scholar

[13] Q. W. Zhang, C. Wang and F. Li, Quantitative Prediction and Assessment of Induced Seismicity Risk in Yangtze Three-Gorge Reservior Head Area and its Neighboring Area, Water Resources and Power, vol. 23(4), pp.21-25, Aug. (2005).

Google Scholar

[14] Q. W. Zhang and M. Zhong, Using Multi-lever fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to assess reservoir induced seismic risk, in Journal of Computers, vol. 6(8), pp.1670-1676, (2011).

DOI: 10.4304/jcp.6.8.1670-1676

Google Scholar

[15] R. D. Adams, The effect of Lake Benmore on local earthquake, in Engineering of Geology, vol. 8, pp.155-169, (1974).

Google Scholar

[16] R. M. Kebeasy, M. Maamoun, E. Ibrahim, A. Megahed, D. M. Simpson and W. S. Leith, Earthquake studies at Aswan reservoir, in Journal of Geodynamics, vol. 7, pp.173-193, (1987).

DOI: 10.1016/0264-3707(87)90003-2

Google Scholar

[17] S. Medasani, J. Kim and R. Krishnapuram, An overview of membership function generation techniques for pattern recognition, in International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, vol. 19, pp.391-417, (1998).

DOI: 10.1016/s0888-613x(98)10017-8

Google Scholar

[18] T. Vladut, Recent research on reservoir on reservoir induced seismicity, Inernational Journal on Hydropower & Dams, vol. 3(6), pp.80-82, (1996).

Google Scholar

[19] W. jiekang, Z. Yunan and W. Shange, Multi-objective optimal scheduling for cascaded hydroelectric power plant based on improved membership functions, in Power System Technology, vol. 35(2), pp.48-52, (2011).

Google Scholar

[20] W. Zhong, W. D. Liang and Z. J. Lu, Study on the membership interval distribution function for fuzzy sets, in Journal of Chongqing University of Technology (Natural Science), vol. 25(1), pp.107-112, (2011).

Google Scholar

[21] Y. L. Hsu, C. H. Lee and V. B. Kreng, The application of Fuzzy Delphi Method and Fuzzy AHP in lubricant regenerative technology selection, in Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 37, pp.419-425, (2010).

DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2009.05.068

Google Scholar