Prediction and Analysis of Safety Production Accident in Mining Based on the GM(1,1)

Abstract:

According to the grey theory, in order to predict and prevent accident effectively, the paper built a grey model and forecast the mine accidents in china in 2013 based on the statistics of mine accidents happened in China during period from 2007 to 2012. MATLAB was used to write procedure code of GM (1, 1) and empirical verification follows. The prediction results show that if high accuracy goes with the precision of the calculable model, which could be used to provide the basis for decision making to the safety production management practices in China. This case study indicates that GM (1, 1) plays an important role in mine safety management.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 989-994)
• Pages: 3443-3446
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.989-994.3443
• Online since: July 2014
• Authors: Chen Fang Jiang, Ke Peng Hou*, Hua Fen Sun
• Keywords: Accident, GM(1,1), MATLAB, Mining Safety, Prediction

References

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