A Predictive Model of Hot Rolling Flow Stress by Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline

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A new modeling method called multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) was firstly employed to predict the hot rolling flow stress and explain the relationship among flow stress and various parameters such as major chemical compositions, rolling temperature, rolling speed, compression ratio, thickness, roll radius, furthermore, analyze the importance of the predictor variables. The results showed that the error of training and testing was less than 2%, and rolling temperature, rolling speed, and strip thickness had much contribution to flow stress. Moreover, the impact of various factors on the flow stress can be validated by real production data, which proved the reliability of MARS model to predict the flow stress and guide the practical production.

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1148-1155

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June 2017

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© 2017 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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