Risk Analysis of Hydropower Construction Project Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

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Abstract:

Hydropower construction projects have been faced with more complex risk factors and had higher demands on technology in recent years. It is how to do the risk assessment and management that have been the focus of hydropower project management. In the basis of the analysis of risk factors of hydropower projects, this article has adopted analytic hierarchy to construct the hydropower project risk evaluation index system, and presented 9-scale method in accordance with human experience and judgment to make quantitative risk assessment of the risk factors by weight vector system. With the construction of the risk fuzzy evaluation model and the analysis by examples, it is proved that the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method has the applicability for hydropower project risk analysis, which combined qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to strengthen the regulation and evaluation effectiveness.

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2177-2181

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August 2013

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© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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