Prediction of China's Water Shortage in the Year of 2025

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Abstract:

In order to predict the demand of fresh water in China in the year of 2025, a mathematical model is proposed based on the summation of demand of water in ten major regions in China. The gray model is applied to predict the fresh water resource in the year of 2025 while neural network model is applied to predict the fresh water demand. The degree of water shortage is evaluated by the international water scarcity assessment criteria which are commonly used. The conclusion is that some provinces in China may be faced with big challenges for water shortage.

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83-88

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September 2013

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© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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