Application of Time Series Analysis in the Analysis and Forecasting of Track Geometry Status

Chao Long Jia; Wei Xiang Xu; Han Ning Wang

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.44-47.3767

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Application of Time Series Analysis in the Analysis and Forecasting of Track Geometry Status
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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 44-47Application of Time Series Analysis in the...

Application of Time Series Analysis in the Analysis and Forecasting of Track Geometry Status

Abstract:

Track geometry deformation lead to dangerous of train driving, endangering railway transport. It is the prerequisite of developing a reasonable plan of track maintenance and repair that find out the occurrence of track geometry deformation and the law of development. It is also one of the core works of railway's maintenance and repair. In this paper, we analyze detect data of railway track use time series analysis, discovery the track deformation production, make a thorough inquiry to find out the trend of deformation occurrence and forecast the status of the track geometry. The results show that there is higher accuracy of the forecasting, and it can be used to guide the conservation of railway track.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 44-47)

Pages:

3767-3770

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.44-47.3767

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Online since:

December 2010

Authors:

Chao Long Jia, Wei Xiang Xu, Han Ning Wang

Keywords:

Analysis, Data Mining (DM), Forecasting, Time Series Analysis, Track Geometry

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