Linear Regression for Forecasting Photovoltaic Power Generation

Article Preview

Abstract:

One key issue for knowledge discovery is to build a model with simple structure, high performance and interpretability. Linear regression is simple and interpretable model comparing to other models such as neural network. This paper introduces linear regression into photovoltaic power forecasting. Experimental results on the data set collected by Zhongwei third photovoltaic power station of Ningxia Jinyang new energy Co., Ltd. show that, compared with neural network, linear regression performs better generated power forecasting.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Pages:

1771-1774

Citation:

Online since:

February 2014

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2014 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

* - Corresponding Author

[1] Z. -Q. Yao, Q. Zhang, X. -M. LIU: Research on simulation of a three-phase grid-connected photovoltaic generation system based on PSCAD/ EMTDC. Power System Protection and Control,2010,38(17): 76-81.

DOI: 10.1109/appeec.2012.6307166

Google Scholar

[2] N. -C. Zhou, L. -W. Yan, Q. -G. WANG: Research on dynamic characteristic and integration of photovoltaic generation in microgrids [J]. Power System Protection and Control,2010,38(14):119- 127.

Google Scholar

[3] Y. -Y. Zhao: Research and implementation of power prediction of the photovoltaic system. East China Electric Power University, (2012).

Google Scholar

[4] J. Lu, H. -Q. Di, C. Liu, et al: Study on statistical method for predicting photovoltaic generation power[J]. East China Electric Power, 2010, 34(4): 563-567.

Google Scholar

[5] Y. -X. Zhang, J. Zhao: Application of recurrent neural networks to generated power forecasting for photovoltaic system. Power System Protection and Control, 2011, 39(15): 96-102.

Google Scholar

[6] G. -F. Fan, W. -S. Wang, C. Liu, H. -Z. Dai: Wind Power Prediction Based on Artificial Neural Network[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE. 2008(34).

Google Scholar

[7] Yona A, Senjyu T, Funabashi T: Application of recurrent neural network to short-term-ahead generating power forecasting for photovoltaic system [C]. IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting, (2007).

DOI: 10.1109/pes.2007.386072

Google Scholar

[8] H. Yao: Neural network model and MATLAB simulation programming [M]. Beijing: Qinghua University Press,(2004).

Google Scholar