The Application of System Dynamics Model of City Water Demand Forecasting

Abstract:

With the continuous development of city, urban water consumption is continuously increasing. But the earth's fresh water resources are limited. If you want to meet the urban development increases the amount of water, you must forecast for urban water demand in the future, water demand prediction is also should be formed. This research mainly adopts the method of system dynamics to predict the water demand of city over the next decade. Forecast of water demand to get accurate effective demand in the future by establishing a system dynamic model, which accuracy should tested and verified.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volume 535)
• Pages: 440-445
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.535.440
• Online since: February 2014
• Authors: Sheng Na Yang, Hua Guo, Yan Li, Jun Liang Liu*
• Keywords: System Dynamics Analysis, Water Balance, Water Demand Prediction

References

[1] Li He, Dan Liu, Wei Huang, Simulation for water supply and demand system based on system dynamics. Yangtze River, 2010，41(3): 38-41.

[2] Yongliang Ma, Chunjing Zou, Qing Sun and so on, Prediction on ecological water demand in Chongming Island based on system dynamics[J], Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2008, 27(1): 140-144.

[3] Junli Han, Wenge Duan, Baisui Li, Simulation and predication of Arid Area urban water resources bearing capacity based on SD model: a case study of Baotou city. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2007, 19(4): 187-190.

[4] Simulation and analysis of water system in the pollution-induced water shortage region based on SD[J].