Research on Level Effect-Based Electrical Load Forecast Method

Abstract:

With the rapid development of economy, the power demand becomes more and more. Together with limited coal resources and the environmental pollution problems caused by coal-fired, there is an urgent need for evaluation on the utilization of coal resources and the environmental pollution degree. Under this background, we gave a satisfactory degree standard that a basis for the division of power load data. In order to reflect the recognize effect of the data with different satisfactory degree, we gave a level effect function. Then we establish a level effect-based electrical load forecast model for the synthesize of different results under different satisfactory degree, and gave a concrete forecast result combined with a specific case. Theoretical analysis and case study show that the established model not only has good structural characteristics, but also has a strong realistic meaning. It is beneficial to make a reasonable electrical load plan and control its usage.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 568-570)
• Pages: 1978-1981
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.568-570.1978
• Online since: June 2014
• Authors: Fa Chao Li, Shuo Liu
• Keywords: Electrical Load, Forecast, Level Effect, Satisfactory Degree

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