Dwell Time Prediction of Bus Rapid Transit Using ARIMA-SVM Hybrid Model

Jian Ding; Min Yang; Yi Cao; Si Li Kong

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.587-589.1993

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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 587-589Dwell Time Prediction of Bus Rapid Transit Using...

Dwell Time Prediction of Bus Rapid Transit Using ARIMA-SVM Hybrid Model

Abstract:

The short-time dwell time of BRT is hard to predict. Considering impacts of complex traffic environment, we can predict the value more effectively by using a new hybrid method, which is mixed with ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model), predicting the self-relevant linear part and SVM, predicting residual nonlinear part, than the single ARIMA model and SVM model. The dwell times of BRT line1in Chang Zhou have proved this thesis.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 587-589)

Pages:

1993-1997

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.587-589.1993

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Online since:

July 2014

Authors:

Jian Ding*, Min Yang, Yi Cao, Si Li Kong

Keywords:

Bus Rapid Transit (BRT), Difference Autoregressive, Dwell Time, Hybrid, Support Vector Machine (SVM)

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References

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