Simulation and Information System in Prediction Model of Dalian Port Cargo Throughput Based on System Dynamics

Lan Li; Zhi Li Liu; Xiao Qing Zhang

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.1030-1032.2625

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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vols. 1030-1032Simulation and Information System in Prediction...

Simulation and Information System in Prediction Model of Dalian Port Cargo Throughput Based on System Dynamics

Abstract:

Through using a system dynamics approach, this research establishes a prediction model of Dalian Port cargo throughput and makes a thorough inquiry in the influence of distinct factors of economy and the port. The prediction model solves the deviation problem resulted from rare factors and uncertainty of economy and society level with the average relative error of 3%. In order to improve the effect of Dalian Port in the whole Northeast Economic Circle, several suggestions are given by analysis of the simulation results.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 1030-1032)

Pages:

2625-2628

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.1030-1032.2625

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Online since:

September 2014

Authors:

Lan Li, Zhi Li Liu, Xiao Qing Zhang

Keywords:

Cargo Throughput, Prediction, Simulation, System Dynamics

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References

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