The Management Cost Forecasted of Retaking Expired Operating Highway Based on the Grey Model GM (1,1)

Abstract:

For retaking expired operating highway, in order to maintain and enhance the normal operation condition of the highway, we still need continue to operate on highway management and maintenance, relevant departments must also be accurately measure the highway management cost. The paper is on the basis of the analysis of the construction of expired operating highway cost, builds expired operating highway’s management cost prediction model based on the grey model GM (1, 1), and examples verify the effectiveness of the model.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 490-495)
• Pages: 1664-1669
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.490-495.1664
• Online since: March 2012
• Authors: Quan Zhang, Wei Zhou, Hui Ying Wen
• Keywords: GM Prediction, Management Cost, Operating Highway

References

[1] Ben-Akiva M, De Palma A, Kaysi I. Dynamic network models and driver information systems[J]. Transportation Research A, 1991, 25:251-266

DOI: 10.1016/0191-2607(91)90142-d

[2] Ben-Akiva M, Koutsoploulos H N, Mishalani R G, Yang Q. Simulation laboratory for evaluating dynamic traffic management systems[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering, 1997, 123:251-266

DOI: 10.1061/(asce)0733-947x(1997)123:4(283)

[3] Yeqiang Gao. An ARMA based Expressway Maintenance and Management Capital Demand Prediction[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2011, 7:1636-1639, 1648.

[4] Ben-Akiva M, Cuneo D, Hasan M, Jha M, Yang Q. Evaluation of freeway control using a microscopic simulation laboratory[J]. Transportation Research C, 2003, 11:29-50

DOI: 10.1016/s0968-090x(02)00020-7

[5] Hu T Y, Mahmassani H S. Day-to-day evolution of network flows under real-time information and reactive signal control[J]. Transportation Research C, 1997, 5:51-69

DOI: 10.1016/s0968-090x(96)00026-5

[6] Liu Y H,, Mahmassani H S. Dynamics aspects of commuter decisions under Advanced traveler information systems-modeling framework and experimental results [J]. Transportation Research Record, 1998, 1645:111-119

DOI: 10.3141/1645-14

[7] Ying Yu, Qiling Wang, Jinyue Tian. Forecast model of expressway maintenance cost[J].Journal of traffic and transportation engineering,2007(03).

[8] Zhihong Chang. Research about full-operation-cycle maintenance cost control of expressway[D].Shan Dong University ,2008.

[9] Zhongwen He, Shaoqiang Huang. The using of zero base budget management method in expressway operation cost control [J].Highway，2004(08).

[10] MI Huiqin．Expressway Operation Cost and the Control Discussion[J]．Technology and Economy in Areas of Communication， 2008，49(5)：125-126．

[11] YAO Ye． Expressway Operation Cost and the Control Discussion[J]．Economics，2010（8）：240-241．