A New Model of Non-Parametric Estimation for Short Term Wind Power Prediction

Qin Qin Chen; Guo Chu Chen; Guo Dong Ding

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.997.699

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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vol. 997A New Model of Non-Parametric Estimation for Short...

A New Model of Non-Parametric Estimation for Short Term Wind Power Prediction

Abstract:

This article propose a new non-parametric interval estimation model, and give the concept of lateral error and vertical error based on traditional non-parametric interval estimation model, on this basis, a probability prediction model of error in the joint condition of horizontal and vertical distribution is established. The new model has been proved to have a better rationality through simulation, risk assessment also has better value.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volume 997)

Pages:

699-702

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.997.699

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Online since:

August 2014

Authors:

Qin Qin Chen*, Guo Chu Chen, Guo Dong Ding

Keywords:

Confidence Interval, Joint Conditional Probability Forecast, Lateral Error, Non-Parametric Estimation, Vertical Error, Wind Power, Wind Power Prediction

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* - Corresponding Author

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