Grey Logistic Model to Predict the Effective Irrigation Area in Liaoning Province

Jin Liang Chen

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.641-642.179

Paper Titles

Effect of New Village Layout on Flood Control Based on Hydrodynamic Model in Henan Yellow River Floodplain
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Effect of Projects within River Courses on Flood Control through Superposition Calculation Method
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Experiment Study of Bed Sediment in Yi River Shandong China
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Flow and Sedimentation Characteristics on Typical Tributary in Xiaolangdi Reservoir on Yellow River
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Grey Logistic Model to Predict the Effective Irrigation Area in Liaoning Province
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Infiltration Characteristics of Soil Moisture in Liangping County
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Investigation and Analysis of the Present Sedimentation Situation of the Small Sized Reservoir in Jiangxi and Guizhou Provinces
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Model Test of the Riverbed Deformation for the Flood Control Project of Chengde Reaches of Luanhe River
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Periodical Water Production Function of Processing Tomato (Solanum lycopersicum) Subjected to Water Deficit in an Arid Environment
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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 641-642Grey Logistic Model to Predict the Effective...

Grey Logistic Model to Predict the Effective Irrigation Area in Liaoning Province

Abstract:

Through grey estimation of the parameters of logistic equation, a grey logistic forecasting model is established. The effective irrigation area in Liaoning Province was simulated by the model. The simulation results had good agreement with the available data, with a correlation of 0.95. The effective irrigation area was predicted to be 1.583 million hectares in 2018, very close to the predicted upper limit of 1.588 million hectares. Thus, there is little potential for the development of the effective irrigation area, rendering the structural adjustment of agricultural resources very necessary.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 641-642)

Pages:

179-182

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.641-642.179

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Online since:

September 2014

Authors:

Jin Liang Chen*

Keywords:

Effective Irrigation Area, Forecast, Grey System, Logistic Equation

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* - Corresponding Author

References

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